ADC chieftain predicts President Tinubu will lose 2027 election over security failures

President Bola Tinubu faces criticism from opposition figures ahead of the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. In an interview on Channels Television’s *Politics Today* on 7 November 2026, African Democratic Congress (ADC) chieftain Kenneth Imasuagbon warned that Tinubu is likely to lose the upcoming poll, attributing the anticipated defeat to the administration’s handling of security challenges across the country.

Imasuagbon argued that the president has demonstrated a lack of understanding of how to address the nation’s security problems, which he says have resulted in killings, kidnappings and displacement in multiple regions. He argued that Nigerians have lost patience with constant promises that fail to deliver concrete results, resulting in a state of persistent anxiety where they sleep and rise in dread.

The ADC leader further asserted that a president who cannot protect lives and property forfeits the moral right to seek another term, suggesting that the 2027 election will be decided not by propaganda or financial influence but by the daily realities experienced by ordinary citizens.

Background

The African Democratic Congress, a smaller opposition party in Nigeria, has positioned itself as a vocal critic of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and President Tinubu’s policies. Imasuagbon’s comments came during a televised interview on Channels Television, a national broadcaster, where he responded to recent reports of heightened insecurity, including incidents of kidnapping and communal violence that have been widely reported throughout 2026.

Tinubu, who assumed office in May 2023, has faced mounting pressure over security issues that have plagued several states, prompting public protests and calls for stronger governmental action. The ADC, while not a major electoral contender, often amplifies concerns raised by civil society groups regarding governance and public safety.

Why it matters

Imasuagbon’s statements highlight growing public dissatisfaction with the incumbent administration’s security record, a factor that could influence voter sentiment in the 2027 election. If the perception that the president is “clueless about security” resonates with a broader electorate, it may affect the APC’s ability to retain power.

The remarks also underscore the political stakes for opposition parties, which seek to capitalize on security failures to gain traction. While the ADC itself is unlikely to win the presidency, its critique may shape the narrative for larger opposition coalitions seeking to unseat Tinubu.

What happens next

The next presidential election is scheduled for 2027, with campaigning expected to intensify as the date approaches. No official response from President Tinubu or the APC to Imasuagbon’s claims has been reported in the source material. The election will serve as a referendum on the administration’s handling of security and other governance issues, with voters expected to assess the impact of ongoing violence on their daily lives.