ADC campaign council claims Tinubu will lose 2027 election amid alleged intimidation

ADC claims Tinubu will lose 2027 election

On 9 November 2026, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) Presidential Campaign Council (PCC) issued a statement from Abuja declaring that President Bola Tinubu would lose the 2027 general election. The council said that intimidation, violence and manipulation of democratic institutions would not secure Tinubu’s re‑election.

According to Kola Ologbondiyan, the ADC-PCC Director of Media and Publicity, the governing All Progressives Congress (APC) is leveraging state apparatuses to suppress rival political groups in an effort to maintain its hold on authority. He pointed to the fatal assault on multiple Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) personnel in Delta State, which followed a reported raid on the party's campaign site by individuals suspected of being APC agents. The body noted that comparable violence was being directed at supporters of the ADC, NDC, and Allied Peoples Movement (APM) across Kaduna, Kogi, Katsina, Kebbi, and Sokoto states.

Ologbondiyan cautioned that these events constituted government-backed intimidation of the democratic process, asserting that the APC was utilizing security forces to harass, detain, and threaten members of opposing parties.

Background

The ADC‑PCC has long positioned itself as a challenger to the APC, arguing that the ruling party’s use of state machinery undermines democratic competition. Previously this year, the group expressed doubts about the impartiality of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), claiming that the voter database had been tampered with and that individuals loyal to the APC had been appointed to key roles within the body.

Furthermore, the organization charged that an active director of a security service was simultaneously serving as a co-director of the APC Presidential Campaign Council, labeling this dual role a breach of the legislation governing that agency. Ologbondiyan argued that the supposed use of state machinery against political rivals indicated that the administration prioritized staying in office over facilitating a fair electoral competition.

Why it matters

The ADC‑PCC’s accusations highlight growing tensions between the ruling APC and opposition parties ahead of the 2027 election. The council’s claims of state‑sponsored violence and manipulation of electoral and judicial institutions raise concerns about the integrity of Nigeria’s democratic process. If the allegations are accurate, they could undermine public confidence in the electoral system and the rule of law.

The council’s statements also call for international scrutiny, civil society vigilance and the political neutrality of security agencies. These claims may shape how citizens organize to protect their ballots, democratic entitlements, and constitutional liberties ahead of the next election.

What happens next

The ADC‑PCC has urged Nigerians to remain vigilant and to prepare to defend their democratic rights ahead of the 2027 general election. The group further urged the international community, civil society groups, religious figures, and traditional authorities to monitor the worsening political and security situation more closely. No specific dates or further actions were announced in the statements.